Saturday, 6 July 2024
Monday, 10 June 2024
INDIA BEYOND THE SENTIMENTS, COUNTRY IS LIKELY TO FACE A FRAGMENTED POLITY ( RE-PRODUCTION WITH POLITICAL ANALYSIS)
The following factors that contributed to the loss of power to the ruling party in Himachal Pradesh and Karnataka.
The ruling party lost more than 50 assembly seats by a margin of less than 1000 votes and 33 seats by a margin of less than 500 votes in elections to above states. The political analysts have done their statistical work on this and found the reason to be the polarisation of votes of middle-class population, farmers, Agricultural workers, ex-servicemen, financial sector retirees, and serving employees of central and state governments against the ruling party. As per experts in this field, this phenomenon is likely to be repeated in the coming elections to the assemblies of Rajasthan, MP, and Chhattisgarh and in the Lok Sabha election to be held in May 2024. “In the words of a Senior Political analyst, the era of affixing votes based on sentiments only is over & the prevailing factors determines the voting pattern’.
The Reason for earning their Anger is as follows.
1) Middle class.
The middle class of society is the worst hit by the rise in taxes, bearing the burden of a high rate of tax since they depend on income from employment and are the major consumers of the products available in the market.
2) Farmers.
They are a population that mostly depends on nature for their livelihood, and their income is flexible due to fluctuations in market conditions. Their agricultural products are not protected from hoardings by middlemen, and the MSP given is unscientific.
3) The other ranks of ex-servicemen, who form a major chunk of the ex-servicemen community, are agitated over the discriminatory treatment meted out to them on the implementation of OROP.
4)Financial sector retirees in banks, LIC, GIC, etc. are agitated and alienated from the ruling party for their failure to implement their long-pending demand for pension updation.
5)The serving employees are up in arms against the ruling party for their failure to comply with their demand of going back to OPS, which has already been rolled back in many opposition-ruled states as a poll promise. The
6)Social Security Scheme Promise in the Election Manifestos of Opposition Parties have yielded a good result in recently held Assembly elections. The pension to housewives, old age pension, widow pension, and unemployment compensation have large takers within the middle class.
7) Taking a clue from the trend in the recent Assembly elections and exit poll prediction for those states that are going to polls very soon, many central Bureaucrats have already switched their loyalty to opposition leaders, as witnessed in the initial period of the Second World War, in which Bureaucrats of British India switched loyalty to Germans. Presently, they are found to be repeating the same and have started taking orders from the leaders of the opposition party and extending a helping hand to them.
8) The combined effort of the above factors may cost much to the ruling party in the upcoming elections in those states that are likely to go to the polls soon. If things move in this direction as planned by the opposition parties, they are likely to make larger poll promises, which are likely to be attracted by the middle-class sections of society.
9) If such a volatile political situation arises, there is likely to be a fragmented polity in India after the next general election and a Kichadi government at the centre, always targeting the prosecution of leaders of the present ruling party rather than concentrating on administration. This may also cause great damage to the already well-built Indian economy, progress made in the defence research field, and other developments in science and technology.
10) If the ruling party does not mend its ways & find ways to regain support of the above sections of society, it will be very difficult for them to defend combined onslaught of opposition and to come to power in the center for the third time in 2024.
(An independent political analysis without bias or prejudice towards anyone.)
"An article on Indian Polity beyond sentiments" ( This Article was published in social Media & sent to Functionaries of National Democratic Alliance in June 2023 for considering the ground reality based on sentiments of electorate)
This is an attempt to analyze the political landscape in India, focusing on the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and its performance in recent elections. Here are the key points for taking corrective action.
Overconfidence and Missed Opportunities: The NDA may have been overconfident about their electoral prospects, which might have led to certain factors being overlooked. Addressing these factors could have resulted in a more favorable outcome for the NDA in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
Potential for Future Success: Despite the past results, there's an opportunity to learn from these mistakes. By making the necessary adjustments, the NDA could perform better in upcoming state assembly elections, ultimately paving the way for a fourth term with a comfortable majority.
Electorate's Sentiment: The analysis suggests that the Indian electorate is hesitant to entrust the country's rule to a coalition of many parties with divergent views, similar to the situation in the epic Mahabharata. Instead, the electorate appears to prefer a single party or a more cohesive alliance.
Warning to the NDA: The results are seen as a warning to the NDA to address the issues that led to their relatively weaker performance and to reconnect with the electorate's needs and expectations.
To summarize, the article underscores the importance of strategic adjustments and learning from past electoral results to improve future political outcomes for the NDA.
By M B C Menon
Blogger & Columnist
Sunday, 9 June 2024
AN ARTICLE ON " INDIAN POLITY BEYOND SENTIMENTS " PUBLISHED IN VOP BEFORE LOK SABHA ELECTION.
The following factors that contributed to the loss of power to the ruling party in Himachal Pradesh and Karnataka.
The ruling party lost more than 50 assembly seats by a margin of less than 1000 votes and 33 seats by a margin of less than 500 votes in elections to above states. The political analysts have done their statistical work on this and found the reason to be the polarisation of votes of middle-class population, farmers, Agricultural workers, ex-servicemen, financial sector retirees, and serving employees of central and state governments against the ruling party. As per experts in this field, this phenomenon is likely to be repeated in the coming elections to the assemblies of Rajasthan, MP, and Chhattisgarh and in the Lok Sabha election to be held in May 2024.
The Reason for earning their Anger is as follows.
1) Middle class.
The middle class of society is the worst hit by the rise in taxes, bearing the burden of a high rate of tax since they depend on income from employment and are the major consumers of the products available in the market.
2) Farmers.
They are a population that mostly depends on nature for their livelihood, and their income is flexible due to fluctuations in market conditions. Their agricultural products are not protected from hoardings by middlemen, and the MSP given is unscientific.
3) The other ranks of ex-servicemen, who form a major chunk of the ex-servicemen community, are agitated over the discriminatory treatment meted out to them on the implementation of OROP.
4)Financial sector retirees in banks, LIC, GIC, etc. are agitated and alienated from the ruling party for their failure to implement their long-pending demand for pension updation.
5)The serving employees are up in arms against the ruling party for their failure to comply with their demand of going back to OPS, which has already been rolled back in many opposition-ruled states as a poll promise. The
6)Social Security Scheme Promise in the Election Manifestos of Opposition Parties have yielded a good result in recently held Assembly elections. The pension to housewives, old age pension, widow pension, and unemployment compensation have large takers within the middle class.
7) Taking a clue from the trend in the recent Assembly elections and exit poll prediction for those states that are going to polls very soon, many central Bureaucrats have already switched their loyalty to opposition leaders, as witnessed in the initial period of the Second World War, in which Bureaucrats of British India switched loyalty to Germans. Presently, they are found to be repeating the same and have started taking orders from the leaders of the opposition party and extending a helping hand to them.
8) The combined effort of the above factors may cost much to the ruling party in the upcoming elections in those states that are likely to go to the polls soon. If things move in this direction as planned by the opposition parties, they are likely to make larger poll promises, which are likely to be attracted by the middle-class sections of society.
9) If such a volatile political situation arises, there is likely to be a fragmented polity in India after the next general election and a Kichadi government at the centre, always targeting the prosecution of leaders of the present ruling party rather than concentrating on administration. This may also cause great damage to the already well-built Indian economy, progress made in the defence research field, and other developments in science and technology.
10) If the ruling party does not mend its ways & find ways to regain support of the above sections of society, it will be very difficult for them to defend combined onslaught of opposition and to come to power in the centre for the third time in 2024.
(An independent political analysis without bias or prejudice towards anyone.)
"An article on Indian Polity beyond sentiments"
By M B C Menon
Saturday, 25 May 2024
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Friday, 8 December 2023
Monday, 4 December 2023
TECHNICAL AIR VETERANS X GROUP CASE LISTED FOR 08/12/2023 IN SUPREME COURT
Diary No.- 42194 - 2023
TECHNICAL AIR VETERANS WELFARE ASSOCIATION
vs.
UNION OF INDIA
Case Details
Diary No.
42194/2023 Filed on 10-10-2023 07:21 PMPENDING
Case No.
W.P.(C) No. 001324 - / 2023 Registered on 25-11-2023
(Verified On 01-12-2023)
Present/Last Listed On 08-12-2023 [HON'BLE THE CHIEF JUSTICE, HON'BLE MR. JUSTICE J.B. PARDIWALA and HON'BLE MR. JUSTICE MANOJ MISRA] [CL.NO. : 4]
Status/Stage PENDING (Motion Hearing
[FRESH (FOR ADMISSION) - CIVIL CASES])
Tentatively case may be listed on (likely to be listed on) 08-12-2023 (Computer generated)
Category 3900-Matters Pertaining To Armed Forces & Paramilitary Forces
Act
Petitioner(s)
1 TECHNICAL AIR VETERANS WELFARE ASSOCIATION
THROUGH ITS PRESIDENT- SH. SUKHDEO BHAGAT REGISTRATION NO. GHA/03481/2023-24 SF-2, SURYA APARTMENT, PLOT 8/5, SECTOR-3 RAJENDER NAGAR, SAHIBABAD, GHAZIABAD UTTAR PRADESH ,GHAZIABAD , UTTAR PRADESH
Respondent(s)
1 UNION OF INDIA
SECRETARY MINISTRY OF DEFENCE, SOUTH BLOCK, NEW DELHI , DISTRICT: NEW DELHI ,NEW DELHI , DELHI
2 MINISTRY OF DEFENCE
Represented by the Defence Secretary DEPARTMENT OF DEFENCE, SOUTH BLOCK, NEW DELHI ,NEW DELHI , DELHI
3 MINISTRY OF FINANCE
Represented by the Secretary DEPARTMENT OF EXPENDITURE, NORTH BLOCK, NEW DELHI ,NEW DELHI , DELHI
4 CONTROLLER GENERAL OF DEFENCE ACCOUNTS
Through Office of the Controller General of Defence Accounts ULAN BATAR ROAD, PALAM, DELHI CANTONMENT NEW DELHI ,NEW DELHI , DELHI
Pet. Advocate(s)
ABHISHEK CHANDRA MISHRA
Sunday, 26 November 2023
Ex-servicemen squat on rail tracks for 12 hours in Punjab's Patiala; train movement hit
Patiala, November 25
A group of ex-servicemen squatted on railway tracks at the Shambhu railway station in this Punjab district for nearly 12 hours on Saturday when they were stopped from heading to Delhi for a protest over alleged anomalies in the “One Rank One Pension” (OROP) scheme, officials said.
The protest affected the train movement on the section, the Government Railway Police (GRP) officials said.
After being assured by officials from the district administration that the governor would meet them, the protesters lifted the dharna at about 4:30 pm, they added.
Some of the protesters had said earlier in the day that they were headed to Delhi on various modes of transport when they were stopped by police from entering Haryana via the Shambhu border.
A GRP official said the movement of trains going towards Delhi, Jammu and Amritsar was affected due to the protest.
“The dharna has been lifted and normal movement of trains restored,” he said.
Sources said around 250 ex-servicemen sat on the dharna at the railway station in the morning, but their number increased later on.
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